Showing posts with label Draft Steals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Draft Steals. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Rotation Guys: Uncovering the Mysteries of the 2nd Round
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| Chalmers showed us a 2nd rounder can contribute on the highest of levels. |
I think everyone in the basketball world has made it painfully clear that the 2011 NBA Draft is potentially an all-time stinker. All the negativity has really bummed me out. I was mildly excited that the Celtics were picking 25th in a draft where there isn't much separation between the 5th pick and the 55th pick and Boston has been successful in that position in recent history. Then Danny Ainge severely curbed my enthusiasm by pointing out the fact that players drafted 25th in the NBA draft have become rotation players 6% of the time and there was no point in sticking Doc Rivers with young players. Awesome. Considering the fact that Danny Ainge is one of the sneakiest Mormons ever, I am sure he has something up his sleeve and I think I know what it is....
Friday, April 1, 2011
Draft Steal: Christian Ponder
Gabbert Who? CP7 would be staying in Florida if Parcells was still in Miami.
Bill Parcells uses four famous criteria when evaluating QBs in the draft:
1. He must be a senior, because you need time and maturity to develop into a good professional quarterback.
2. He must be a graduate, because you want someone who takes his responsibilities seriously.
3. He must be a three-year starter, because you need to make sure his success wasn’t ephemeral and that he has lived as “the guy” for some period of time.
4. He must have at least 23 wins, because the big passing numbers must come in the context of winning games.
QBs in this draft based on this criteria.
Quarterback | Is he a Senior? | Did he Graduate? | How Many Starts? | How Many Wins? |
Cam Newton | NO | NO | 14 (1yr) | 14 |
Blaine Gabbert | NO | NO | 26 (2 yr) | 18 |
Ryan Mallet | NO | YES | 32 (2 ½ yr) | 22 |
Jake Locker | YES | YES | 41 (4yr) | 15 |
Christian Ponder | YES | YES (Grad Degree) | 36 (3yr) | 24 |
Looks like Christian Ponder might be the sleeper QB of this year’s draft. If the Parcells rankings are not enough, look at the following numbers showing smarts, pocket presence, and accuracy.
Quarterback | INT/TD Ratio | Sacks | Comp % |
Cam Newton | 30/7 (1) | 23 (2T) | 66.1% (2) |
Blaine Gabbert | 16/9 (5) | 23 (2T) | 63.4% (4) |
Ryan Mallet | 32/12 (2) | 25 (5) | 64.7% (3) |
Jake Locker | 17/9 (4) | 19 (1) | 55.4% (5) |
Christian Ponder | 20/8 (3) | 23 (2T) | 68.8% (1) |
If you add these rankings up you get the following order.
Cam Newton: 5
Christian Ponder: 6
Ryan Mallet: 10
Jake Locker: 10
Blaine Gabbert: 11
The RFH Collective is officially on the CP7 bandwagon and advises everyone reading this to follow suit.
Draft Steal: Marvin Austin
"I may look tired but I actually play over 75% of snaps".
The first in my series of "Draft Steals" is Marvin "Anchorman" Austin. This Tar Heel is receiving a 2nd round grade by most at this point but is a 1st round talent in my book. Lets look at why.
Endurance: Austin has an uncanny ability to stay on the field. In fact, during 5 games of the 2009 season (at Connecticut, versus East Carolina, at Georgia Tech, versus Virginia and versus Florida State) Austin was on the field for 258 of the 341 plays. This combination of endurance and size (6'3" 310) makes Austin extremely rare.
Double Team Machine: During the five games mentioned above Austin was doubled 52 of the 128 passing plays he participated in and 13 of the 37 Point-Of-Attack running plays.
Versatility: In the 5 games mentioned, Austin lined up at the Nose (zero technique) 110 times and the 2/3 technique 131 times. He even lined up in the 5 technique when UNC went 3-4.
Pass Rush Moves: Austin bull rushed 30 times, swim/ripped 27 times, and speed/variation 39 times. This skill set is rare for a big daddy in college.
Negative: Austin did not have the best stats in college (42 tackles, 6.0 tackles for losses, four sacks, three pass breakups, six quarterback pressures, one forced fumble and a fumble recovery). These stats become more reasonable, however, after one considers how many double teams he faced.
Bottom Line: Austin will make any team happy with his versatility and endurance. His production should continue to rise as he gets single-blocked more in the NFL.
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